Thursday, February 21, 2008

Prices - Oil-Reserve Rules May Change

Regulators are on the verge of modernizing oil and natural gas reserve-accounting rules that could revalue much of the petroleum sector. The Securities and Exchange Commission yesterday finished posting public comments, which overwhelmingly support the agency's proposed rule revisions. The revisions were based on petroleum-industry recommendations.
If the SEC moves ahead with its proposals, it would be the first time in several decades the commission has updated its reserve-accounting rules. Modernized rules would create consistent valuation standards for unconventional resources such as tar sands and hard-to-produce natural gas.

This could allow some companies to officially book billions of barrels in tar sands or billions of cubic feet of natural-gas reserves -- declaring themselves to be more valuable in the process. The rules would take into account new technology and recovery methods.

Reserves accounting is a crucial investor metric to valuing petroleum businesses. As typical resources are becoming more difficult to find or develop because of limited geopolitical access, companies have been turning to unconventional oil and gas deposits. Oil prices at record levels also have made expensive, unconventional projects now viable.

Besides allowing companies to officially book billions of barrels of new oil sands and other unconventional resources, the new rules could help more accurately report the value of tar sands, or bitumen, by allowing companies to assess their assets at sale value. Current valuing of bitumen is based at year-end levels, when prices are typically at their lowest because of their link to asphalt demand.

Companies weren't allowed by the SEC to book many of those resources under the old rules, last updated in 1982. As a result, many companies were understating their reserves to the SEC and giving their own accounts directly to investors.

Sunday, February 10, 2008

Pricing - Determination of bitumen prices



The North American bitumen market is immature and illiquid. The vast majority of bitumen is found in the Province of Alberta in Western Canada. There are no posted prices for bitumen; marketers rely on a number of pricing formulas that reference various posted crude qualities such as Edmonton light, Lloydminster blend, WTI etc. Market pricing is seasonal with lower prices in and around the calendar year-end being the norm due to lower demand for asphalt and other bitumen derived products.

By necessity, bitumen is regularly blended with diluent (typically in the form of C5+ or synthetic light crude) in order to facilitate its transportation via pipeline to North American markets. As such, the effective field price for bitumen is also directly impacted by the input cost of the diluent required, the demand and price of which is also seasonal in nature (higher in winter as colder temperatures necessitate more diluent for transportation).

Consequently, bitumen pricing is notoriously weak in and around December 31 and not reflective of the annual average realized price or the economics of the “business” overall.

Upgrading - Hydrotreating

The fourth major process in upgrading is hydrotreating. This process is used on the gas oils, kerosene, and naptha produced from the original bitumen feedstock. In this process, heated hydrocarbon feedstock is mixed with hydrogen at high pressure and temperature ranging from 300 – 400°C depending on the liquid. The various petroleum liquids pass through separate towers and flow around special catalytic pellets. Hydrotreating stabilizes the crude oil synthesized from the original bitumen by adding hydrogen to some unsaturated molecules. If this were not done, the crude oil produced would continue to react and change its chemical composition on its way to final refining.

Hydrotreating also reduces or removes chemical impurities, such as nitrogen, sulphur and trace metals from hydrocarbon molecules. This is very important because impurities can be environmental concerns and theycause problems at the refineries.

The petroleum liquids are kept in separate storage tanks on site until they are ready to be blended and shipped down the pipeline for refining. Synthetic crude oil is not stored in its blended form anytime on site. The synthetic crude oil that is produced from oil sand is considered easy to refine because it is sweet. Sweet means that the product is very low in sulphur and other impurities.

Upgrading - Distillation



The third stage of the upgrading process is distillation. Bitumen is a mixture of hydrocarbon compounds. Distillation is a very common industrial process that can be used to sort liquids and gases into their component parts. A distillation, or fractionating tower works because different substances boil at different temperatures. The temperature inside the tower varies, with the hottest temperatures at the bottom and the coolest at the top. The lightest hydrocarbons with the lowest boiling points travel as a vapour to the top of the tower. Heavier and denser hydrocarbons with higher boiling points collect as liquids lower in the tower. The gas vapour condenses into heavy and light gas oils, kerosene and naptha.

Upgrading - Catalytic Conversion



Catalytic Conversion is another way to crack oil molecules into smaller, refineable hydrocarbons. Because it too requires high temperatures, catalytic conversion is really an enhanced form of thermal conversion. Catalysts have a very interesting effect on chemical reactions. They help those reactions to take place, but the catalyst itself is not chemically altered by the reaction. There can be different types of catalysts used (shaped like beads or pellets). The surface area of the catalyst is quite important; the cracking occurs when heated bitumen contacts active sites on the catalyst. Catalysts encourage “cracking” of hydrocarbons in two ways. When large hydrocarbons contact active sites on a catalyst, they react by breaking down into smaller molecules. Catalysts also act as sieves letting some molecules with specific sizes and shapes through while holding others back to continue reacting. Sometimes high-pressure hydrogen is added in the process of catalytic cracking. This is called hydroprocessing. Adding hydrogen helps to produce lighter, hydrogen rich molecules. This is necessary in upgrading bitumen, which is rich in carbon but proportionally less hydrogen than conventional oils.

Catalytic conversion is more expensive than thermal conversion but it does produce more upgraded product for later refining.

Upgrading - Thermal Conversion (Coking)


Thermal Conversion or Coking involves breaking apart the long heavy hydrocarbon molecules using heat. Hydrocarbons have an interesting and very useful property. If they are subjected to high temperatures they will react and change their molecular structures. The higher the temperature, the faster these reactions will happen. This is sometimes called “Cracking” because large hydrocarbon molecules can be made to crack, or break down into smaller molecules. Coking is an intense thermal cracking process. It is particularly useful in upgrading bitumen into lighter, refineable hydrocarbons (naptha, kerosene distillates, and gas oils) and concentrates extra carbon into a material called coke. The coke is considered a byproduct of the coking process. Currently oil sands companies use two types of coking to upgrade bitumen: delayed coking and fluid coking.

Delayed coking is a process where bitumen is heated to 500°C (925°F), then pumped into one side of a doublesided coker. The bitumen cracks into two products: solid coke and gas vapour. It takes approximately 12 hours to fill one side with coke. When one coke drum is full the heated bitumen is diverted into the 2nd coker in the pair to continue the cracking process. A high-pressure water drill is used to cut out the solid coke from the first coking drum. The fluid coking process is similar except it is a continuous process. There is just one coking drum for fluid coking. The bitumen is heated to 500°C (925°F) but instead of pumping the bitumen it is sprayed in a fine mist around the entire height and circumference of the coker. The bitumen cracks into gas
vapour and coke. The coke is in a much finer powder-like form, which is then drained from the bottom.

The coke’s greatest value is as a fuel for coke furnaces, producing the heat needed for the hydro-cracking process. More coke is produced than is needed so it is stockpiled for future use.

Upgrading - Overview

Upgrading is the process that changes bitumen into synthetic crude oil. Bitumen, like crude oil, is a very complex mixture of chemicals (a hydrocarbon with chains in excess of 2,000 molecules). It also has a lot of carbon in relation to hydrogen. Some upgrading processes remove carbon, while others add hydrogen or change molecular structures. Upgrading also involves sorting bitumen into its component parts and then using them to produce a range of additional products and byproducts. Some of these products can be used “as is”. Others become raw materials for further processing. The main product of upgrading is synthesized crude oil that can be later refined like conventional oil into a range of consumer products.

There are four main steps to the upgrading process: Thermal Conversion, Catalytic Conversion, Distillation, and Hydrotreating. The purpose of upgrading is to separate the light and convert the heavy components of bitumen into a refineable product. Different companies use these processes in different ways and at different stages in the transformation of bitumen into synthetic crude oil, but the principles behind this transformation remain the same. Syncrude and Suncor upgrade their bitumen at their plant sites. Albian Sands sends diluted bitumen down their pipeline to the Scotford Upgrader where it is upgraded into synthetic crude oil.

The initial step in upgrading is to remove naphtha in a simple distillation process (diluent recovery unit). This naphtha can then be re-used in the froth treatment process.

Mining - Biodegradation of oil sands into methane

An idea founded long ago is on the rise again. Scientists said recently in the journal Nature they can radically speed up the underground bacterial fermentation that turns Canada's tar-like Athabasca sands into natural gas at far less cost and with far less environmental pollution.

This is huge global news because the world has about 6 trillion barrels of such heavy oil, more than 20 times the proven oil reserves in Saudi Arabia. They're focused in Canada's Athabasca, in Venezuela's Orinoco tar belt, and in the oil shale of the U.S. Rocky Mountains. All may be economically recoverable with bacterial refining.

Dr. Steve Larter of the University of Calgary says understanding how anaerobic bacteria ferment heavy oil into clean-burning methane underground opens the door to recovering the gas from deeply buried oil sands.

"The main thing is you'd be recovering a much cleaner fuel," he says. "Methane is, per energy unit, a much lower carbon dioxide emitter than bitumen."

A separate family of microbes that produces CO2 and hydrogen from partly degraded oil offers a way to capture the CO2 from the tar sands as methane, for burning in a closed-loop system would keep the CO2 out of the atmosphere.